And what Berri and Simmons in particular and Massey and Thaler in general remind us is that that kind of blind faith in the likes of Matt Millen and Al Davis simply isn’t justified. And, by the way, why should that fallibility come as a surprise? We’ve known for a long time that it is not easy to making decisions under conditions of extreme uncertainty. The point, of course, is that physicians are experts at medicine, not necessarily probabilistic reasoning.
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